Estimating the Delay Time in Affine Stochastic Delay Differential Equations

نویسنده

  • Markus Reiss
چکیده

We consider linear differential equations with bounded time delay driven by additive white noise. Our aim is the estimation of the maximal delay time from observations of one realisation of the solution process X under nonparametric drift assumptions. In the stationarity case the covariance function has a jump in the third derivative according to the location of the delay time. Based on this result, the delay time estimator is obtained from a singularity detection in the covariance function using a multiresolution framework. It is proved that the estimator attains the rate T−1/3 for observation times T →∞, which corresponds to change point detection in an ill-posed setting. Mathematics subject classification (2000): 62M09, 62G20, 60G15, 34K50

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عنوان ژورنال:
  • IJWMIP

دوره 2  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2004